比推消息，据金十报道， 周五公布的通胀读数低于预期，美国国债价格应声上涨，投资者对美联储2026年降息三次的预期随之升温。对央行政策变化最敏感的两年期美国国债收益率一度下跌多达6个基点至3.40%，创去年10月以来新低，随后略有收窄。数据公布后，交易员定价的年内降息幅度约为63个基点——暗示在已定价的两次降息基础上，年底前进行第三次25个基点降息的概率约为50%，而周四的定价为58个基点。针对1月非农就业数据，交易员本周早些时候已不再完全定价年中降息25个基点，将押注推迟至7月。此前预测3月降息的华尔街银行也纷纷将预期推后至2026年晚些时候。
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