高盛认为，若日本央行借助日元近期的强势，继续维持渐进式加息路径，那么日元在大选后的反弹行情或将面临风险。由卡Kamakshya Trivedi领衔的策略师在报告中写道，尽管未来几周日元的上涨动能可能延续，但我们倾向于认为，这轮涨势可能过猛、过快。若日本央行利用近期日元走强，维持更渐进的加息节奏，日元可能重回贬值趋势，同时长期国债收益率曲线或将出现波动。“与此同时，我们认为短期内日本出现大规模资金回流的可能性依然偏低”，因日本投资组合数据显示，需出现更窄的利差差距或更陡峭的日本国债收益率曲线，才会触发这类资金流动。美元可能持续受到多重因素压制：美国政策制定的不稳定性、科技软件股抛售或削弱美股相对表现，以及亚洲地区的特有局势，这些因素共同推动美元走弱。“这对关注美元估值、押注美元走弱的投资者尤为重要。当前美元的高估，完全源于亚洲货币的相对表现。”
责任编辑：王永生
Disclaimer: Investing carries risk. This is not financial advice. The above content should not be regarded as an offer, recommendation, or solicitation on acquiring or disposing of any financial products, any associated discussions, comments, or posts by author or other users should not be considered as such either. It is solely for general information purpose only, which does not consider your own investment objectives, financial situations or needs. TTM assumes no responsibility or warranty for the accuracy and completeness of the information, investors should do their own research and may seek professional advice before investing.