Assessing Lynas Rare Earths (ASX:LYC) Valuation After Kalgoorlie Power Issues And Expansion Updates

Simply Wall St.

Feb 19

Lynas Rare Earths (ASX:LYC) is back in focus after power supply problems at its Kalgoorlie facility triggered production shortfalls, with investors now watching upcoming half year results and ...

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overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nAssessing Lynas Rare Earths (ASX:LYC) Valuation After Kalgoorlie Power Issues And Expansion Updates\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2026-02-19 05:24 GMT+8&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<a href=https://simplywall.st/stocks/au/materials/asx-lyc/lynas-rare-earths-shares/news/assessing-lynas-rare-earths-asxlyc-valuation-after-kalgoorli><strong>Simply Wall St.</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>Lynas Rare Earths (ASX:LYC) is back in focus after power supply problems at its Kalgoorlie facility triggered production shortfalls, with investors now watching upcoming half year results and ...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://simplywall.st/stocks/au/materials/asx-lyc/lynas-rare-earths-shares/news/assessing-lynas-rare-earths-asxlyc-valuation-after-kalgoorli\">Source Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","isBrief":false,"type":0,"news_type":1,"symbol":"BK7507","symbol_name":"资源股","start_time":0,"source_url":"https://simplywall.st/stocks/au/materials/asx-lyc/lynas-rare-earths-shares/news/assessing-lynas-rare-earths-asxlyc-valuation-after-kalgoorli","article_id":"2612203974","we_media_id":null,"thumbnails":["https://images.simplywall.st/asset/industry/2052000-choice2-main-header/1585186553865"],"rights":{"source":"simplywall_highlight","url":"https://simplywall.st/stocks/au/materials/asx-lyc/lynas-rare-earths-shares/news/assessing-lynas-rare-earths-asxlyc-valuation-after-kalgoorli","rn_cache_url":null,"directOrigin":true},"url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=2612203974","pubTimestamp":1771449862,"columns":[],"sourceInfo":{"source_id":"simplywall_highlight","name":"Simply Wall St."},"weMediaInfo":null,"summary":"Lynas Rare Earths (ASX:LYC) is back in focus after power supply problems at its Kalgoorlie facility triggered production shortfalls, with investors now watching upcoming half year results and expansion plans closely.\nSee our latest analysis for Lynas Rare Earths.\nThe recent power issues and upcoming half year results sit against a mixed backdrop, with a 1 day share price return of 3.06% and a year to date share price return of 26.92%, while the 1 year total shareholder return of 132.19%...","collect":0,"end_time":0,"defaultTopTitle":"simplywall.st","property":[],"viewcount":null,"language":"en","relate_stocks":{"BK7507":"资源股","BK4084":"特种房地产投资信托","BK4234":"特殊用途房地产信托","LYC.AU":"LYNAS RARE EARTHS LTD","PW":"Power REIT","BK7095":"多种金属与采矿"},"translate_title":"卡尔古利电力问题和扩张更新后评估莱纳斯稀土(ASX：LYC)的估值","themeId":null,"isJumpTheme":false,"ttsUrl":null,"symbols_score_info":{"LYC.AU":1.5,"PW":1.5},"content_text":"Lynas Rare Earths (ASX:LYC) is back in focus after power supply problems at its Kalgoorlie facility triggered production shortfalls, with investors now watching upcoming half year results and expansion plans closely. See our latest analysis for Lynas Rare Earths. The recent power issues and upcoming half year results sit against a mixed backdrop, with a 1 day share price return of 3.06% and a year to date share price return of 26.92%, while the 1 year total shareholder return of 132.19% points to strong longer term momentum despite shorter term share price softness. If this rare earths story has caught your attention, it could be worth scanning our list of 30 best rare earth metal stocks to see what else is moving in the sector. With Lynas Rare Earths trading only slightly below both analyst targets and an estimated intrinsic value, the key question is whether recent setbacks leave hidden value on the table or if markets are already pricing in future growth. AdvertisementMost Popular Narrative: 2.3% Undervalued With Lynas Rare Earths last closing at A$15.51 against a widely followed fair value estimate of A$15.87, the current price sits only slightly below that narrative anchor, putting more weight on the assumptions behind the model than on the headline discount.  The market seems to be pricing in flawless execution of Lynas's aggressive expansion into downstream processing and magnet manufacturing, including successful ramp-up of the new Kalgoorlie and Malaysian facilities, as well as anticipated revenue from potential magnet JV/partnerships, thus projecting significant margin and earnings growth.  • Successful capacity expansions (Mt Weld, Kalgoorlie, and Malaysia) and downstream integration into metal and magnet manufacturing may drive volume growth, capture additional value-add, and realize operational efficiencies, leading to expanding revenues and improved operational margins over time. Read the complete narrative. Want to see what kind of revenue curve, margin lift and future earnings multiple are built into that A$15.87 mark? The most followed narrative leans on a specific mix of growth rates, profitability assumptions and a premium valuation hurdle that only a handful of miners are usually granted. Curious how those inputs stack up against the current A$15.51 price and narrow discount? Result: Fair Value of A$15.87 (UNDERVALUED) Have a read of the narrative in full and understand what's behind the forecasts. However, that story can change quickly if expansion projects stumble, or if policy, regulatory, or offtake support does not line up with the current assumptions. Find out about the key risks to this Lynas Rare Earths narrative. Next Steps With sentiment in the article pulling in both directions, it makes sense to move fast, review the full picture and weigh up 2 key rewards and 2 important warning signs for yourself. Looking for more investment ideas? If you are serious about building a stronger portfolio, do not stop at a single rare earths name. Use the screener tools to widen your opportunity set.  Zero in on potential value opportunities by checking out our list of 11 high quality undervalued stocks that currently screen as priced below their fundamentals. Strengthen your income stream by reviewing 8 dividend fortresses, focused on companies offering higher yields with an emphasis on consistency. Protect your downside risk by scanning 6 resilient stocks with low risk scores, where the focus is on businesses with more resilient overall risk profiles.   This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data\n    and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your\n    financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data.\n    Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material.\n    Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.New: AI Stock Screener & AlertsOur new AI Stock Screener scans the market every day to uncover opportunities.• Dividend Powerhouses (3%+ Yield)• Undervalued Small Caps with Insider Buying• High growth Tech and AI CompaniesOr build your own from over 50 metrics.Explore Now for FreeHave feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team@simplywallst.com","kind":"highlight","is_publish_news":true,"is_publish_highlight":false,"is_publish_live":false,"is_publish_wemedia":null,"editions":null,"column":"","sentiment":"0","news_tag":"","news_rank":0,"symbols":[],"gpt_button":0,"need_auth":false,"code":"91000000","status":"200"}}}