A Look At Tidewater (TDW) Valuation After Robotti Highlights Offshore Recovery And Stronger Balance Sheet

Simply Wall St.

Feb 20

Robotti Value Investors recently highlighted Tidewater (TDW) in its fourth quarter 2025 letter, pointing to the company’s stronger balance sheet, consolidated fleet, and tighter offshore energy supply...

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The 5 year total shareholder...","collect":0,"end_time":0,"defaultTopTitle":"simplywall.st","property":[],"viewcount":null,"language":"en","relate_stocks":{"TDW":"潮水公司","DCF":"Dreyfus Alcentra Global Credit Income 2024 Target Term Fund, Inc","BK4179":"石油天然气设备与服务"},"translate_title":"Robotti强调离岸复苏和更强劲的资产负债表后看看Tidewater(TDW)的估值","themeId":null,"isJumpTheme":false,"ttsUrl":null,"symbols_score_info":{"TDW":1.5,"DCF":1},"content_text":"Robotti Value Investors recently highlighted Tidewater (TDW) in its fourth quarter 2025 letter, pointing to the company’s stronger balance sheet, consolidated fleet, and tighter offshore energy supply-demand conditions supporting renewed pricing power. See our latest analysis for Tidewater. Tidewater’s recent investor attention from Robotti comes alongside strong price momentum, with a 24.35% 1 month share price return and a 36.78% year to date share price return. The 5 year total shareholder return is over 4x, which signals that investors have been reassessing both growth potential and risk over time. If Tidewater’s offshore exposure has you thinking about other energy linked ideas, it could be worth scanning our 24 power grid technology and infrastructure stocks as a next set of opportunities to research. With Tidewater trading around $71.44 and showing both strong recent returns and a high intrinsic discount estimate of roughly 62%, the key question is whether investors are still underestimating its offshore potential or have already priced in future growth. AdvertisementMost Popular Narrative: 19.1% Overvalued Compared with Tidewater’s last close at $71.44, the most followed narrative points to a fair value of $60, implying the market price sits materially above that anchor.  Persistent vessel supply constraints and robust offshore project demand position Tidewater for higher utilization, stronger pricing, and sustained revenue and margin growth. Continued fleet modernization, operational discipline, and a strong balance sheet set the stage for opportunistic expansion and structurally higher profitability.  Read the complete narrative. Curious what earnings path and margin profile justify this fair value call? The narrative leans on steady top line assumptions and a richer profitability mix over time. Behind the $60 fair value is a detailed set of expectations on how Tidewater’s revenue, earnings and profitability could evolve, and what kind of earnings multiple the market might be willing to apply if those assumptions play out. Analysts in this narrative are working with a discount rate of 7.43%, projecting earnings to grow faster than revenues as margins rise, and seeing Tidewater’s future P/E settling below where the broader US Energy Services group trades today. That tension between stronger earnings power and a more restrained valuation multiple is what ultimately feeds into the conclusion that the current share price is ahead of the story implied by the narrative. Result: Fair Value of $60 (OVERVALUED) Have a read of the narrative in full and understand what's behind the forecasts. However, there is still a real chance that softer offshore demand or capital missteps on vessel acquisitions could limit utilization and margins, as well as the earnings path behind this $60 narrative. Find out about the key risks to this Tidewater narrative. Another View: Cash Flows Point a Different Way While the most followed narrative and analyst targets circle around a fair value of $60, our DCF model paints a very different picture. On that approach, Tidewater at $71.44 is trading well below an estimated future cash flow value of $185.72, which suggests the earnings path the market is using might be more cautious than the cash flow math implies. The question for you is which set of assumptions you find more realistic. Look into how the SWS DCF model arrives at its fair value. TDW Discounted Cash Flow as at Feb 2026Simply Wall St performs a discounted cash flow (DCF) on every stock in the world every day (check out Tidewater for example). We show the entire calculation in full. You can track the result in your watchlist or portfolio and be alerted when this changes, or use our stock screener to discover 53 high quality undervalued stocks. If you save a screener we even alert you when new companies match - so you never miss a potential opportunity. Next Steps With such different views on Tidewater’s value in play, it makes sense to move quickly and test the assumptions against the full data set yourself. As you weigh up the potential, it can also help to zoom in on 2 key rewards. Looking for more investment ideas? If Tidewater has sharpened your focus, do not stop here. The Simply Wall St screener can help you quickly pinpoint other opportunities that fit your style.  Target potential value opportunities by checking out our 53 high quality undervalued stocks, which matches strong fundamentals with prices that sit below their estimated worth. Prioritize resilience and sleep a little easier by scanning 80 resilient stocks with low risk scores, which is built around companies with lower risk scores. Hunt for off-the-radar potential by reviewing our screener containing 23 high quality undiscovered gems, which pairs quality metrics with limited market attention.   This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data\n    and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your\n    financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data.\n    Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material.\n    Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.Valuation is complex, but we're here to simplify it.Discover if Tidewater might be undervalued or overvalued with our detailed analysis, featuring fair value estimates, potential risks, dividends, insider trades, and its financial condition.Access Free AnalysisHave feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team@simplywallst.com","kind":"highlight","is_publish_news":true,"is_publish_highlight":false,"is_publish_live":false,"is_publish_wemedia":null,"editions":null,"column":"","sentiment":"1","news_tag":"","news_rank":0,"symbols":[],"gpt_button":0,"need_auth":false,"code":"91000000","status":"200"}}}