ChainCatcher 消息，据 Cointelegraph 报道，ETF 发行商 Bitwise 和 GraniteShares 已向美国证券交易委员会提交申请，计划推出与美国大选结果挂钩的事件合约基金。
Bitwise 周二提交的招股说明书显示，其计划在 NYSE Arca 推出六只名为“PredictionShares”的预测市场式 ETF。这些基金将分别跟踪 2028 年总统大选、2026 年参众两院选举的党派归属结果——若民主党或共和党胜出，对应的基金将获得资本增值；若未能胜出，基金将“基本损失全部价值”。
每只基金至少 80% 的净资产投资于在 CFTC 监管交易所交易的二元事件合约。该类合约在结果发生时结算为 1 美元，否则结算为 0 美元。
同日，ETF 发行商 GraniteShares 也提交了六只结构类似的选举结果挂钩基金招股说明书。
Roundhill 于 2 月 14 日提交了同类基金申请。彭博 ETF 分析师 James Seyffart 评论称：“一切事物的金融化和 ETF 化仍在继续。这不是第一次此类申请，也极不可能是最后一次。”
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