Nickel Industries FY 2025 Loss Narrows Yet Trailing Losses Challenge Bullish Profit Narratives

Simply Wall St.

Feb 24

Nickel Industries (ASX:NIC) has reported its FY 2025 second half with revenue of US$819.4 million and a basic EPS loss of US$0.0157, while the trailing twelve months show revenue of US$1.6 billion and...

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The company has seen revenue move from US$901.2 million and a basic EPS loss of US$0.0405 in the second half of 2024 to US$819.4 million and a basic EPS loss of US$0.0157 in the second half of 2025, alongside trailing EPS shifting from a loss of US$0.0393 to a loss...","collect":0,"end_time":0,"defaultTopTitle":"simplywall.st","property":[],"viewcount":null,"language":"en","relate_stocks":{"BK7095":"多种金属与采矿","NIC.AU":"Nickel Industries Ltd","BLSX":"Tradr 2X Long BLSH Daily ETF","BK4112":"金融交易所和数据","BLSG":"2倍做多BLSH ETF-Leverage Shares"},"translate_title":"镍业2025财年亏损收窄，但追踪亏损挑战看涨利润叙事","themeId":null,"isJumpTheme":false,"ttsUrl":null,"symbols_score_info":{"BLSX":0.6,"BLSG":0.6,"NIC.AU":1.96},"content_text":"Nickel Industries (ASX:NIC) has reported its FY 2025 second half with revenue of US$819.4 million and a basic EPS loss of US$0.0157, while the trailing twelve months show revenue of US$1.6 billion and a basic EPS loss of US$0.0132. The company has seen revenue move from US$901.2 million and a basic EPS loss of US$0.0405 in the second half of 2024 to US$819.4 million and a basic EPS loss of US$0.0157 in the second half of 2025, alongside trailing EPS shifting from a loss of US$0.0393 to a loss of US$0.0132. With forecasts pointing to future revenue and earnings growth, investors are likely to focus on whether these top line figures can eventually translate into steadier margins and a path out of ongoing losses. See our full analysis for Nickel Industries. With the latest numbers on the table, the next step is to see how this mix of revenue scale, ongoing losses and growth expectations lines up against the widely followed narratives around Nickel Industries and its future profitability. See what the community is saying about Nickel Industries ASX:NIC Revenue & Expenses Breakdown as at Feb 2026 AdvertisementTTM loss of US$57.1 million keeps profitability in focus  Over the trailing twelve months, Nickel Industries generated US$1.6b of revenue and reported a net loss of US$57.1 million with basic EPS at a loss of US$0.0132. Consensus narrative talks about revenue growing 18.4% a year and margins moving from a 9.4% loss to 17.8% profit, yet the latest half still shows a US$68.3 million loss, so investors are weighing:\n     Whether the shift from a US$173.7 million loss in 2H 2024 to a US$68.3 million loss in 2H 2025 signals progress consistent with those margin expectations. How the modest EPS profit of US$0.0026 in 1H 2025, followed by a loss in 2H 2025, fits with the idea of earnings reaching US$512.5 million by 2028.    1.8x P/S and DCF fair value of A$2.33 contrast with A$0.99 price  The shares trade on a P/S of 1.8x versus peers at 14.8x and the Australian Metals & Mining industry at 159.7x. The DCF fair value is given as A$2.33 against a current share price of A$0.99. Bulls argue the low P/S and wide gap to DCF fair value align with forecasts for revenue growth of about 12.1% a year and earnings growth of 42.09% a year, but the current loss profile keeps the bar high:\n     Forecasts include scenarios where earnings reach US$852.5 million or US$512.5 million by 2028, compared with a trailing twelve month loss of US$57.1 million today. The share price would need to close a large gap to both the A$1.16 analyst target and the A$2.33 DCF fair value for the bullish view to play out in full.    Have a look at how optimistic investors frame that upside against today’s loss making base in the 🐂 Nickel Industries Bull Case. Five year loss growth of 48.2% keeps bears focused on risk  Losses have grown at an annualized rate of 48.2% over the past five years, and the company remains unprofitable over the trailing twelve months despite US$1.6b in revenue. Bears highlight that this track record of increasing losses sits uncomfortably alongside projections for profits of between US$406.2 million and US$852.5 million by 2028, so they focus on:\n     Whether continued capital needs, including large project and acquisition spending, could keep pressure on net income even if revenue rises. How dependence on Indonesian operations and potential cost and regulatory pressures might limit the margin improvement implied in the more optimistic models.    If you want to see how cautious investors connect these risks to their longer term expectations, check out the 🐻 Nickel Industries Bear Case. Next Steps To see how these results tie into long-term growth, risks, and valuation, check out the full range of community narratives for Nickel Industries on Simply Wall St. Add the company to your watchlist or portfolio so you'll be alerted when the story evolves. If the mix of optimism and caution here feels familiar, this is the moment to look at the numbers yourself and decide quickly where you stand. Start with 3 key rewards. See What Else Is Out There Nickel Industries still reports losses despite US$1.6b in revenue, a history of loss growth, and forecasts that rely heavily on ambitious profit and margin shifts. If those ongoing losses and uncertainties make you want steadier footing, check out our 6 resilient stocks with low risk scores to quickly spot companies where risk scores look more balanced.  This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data\n    and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your\n    financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data.\n    Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material.\n    Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.Valuation is complex, but we're here to simplify it.Discover if Nickel Industries might be undervalued or overvalued with our detailed analysis, featuring fair value estimates, potential risks, dividends, insider trades, and its financial condition.Access Free AnalysisHave feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team@simplywallst.com","kind":"highlight","is_publish_news":true,"is_publish_highlight":false,"is_publish_live":false,"is_publish_wemedia":null,"editions":null,"column":"","sentiment":"0","news_tag":"","news_rank":0,"symbols":[],"gpt_button":0,"need_auth":false,"code":"91000000","status":"200"}}}