ChainCatcher 消息，据市场消息，Glassnode 数据显示，比特币交易者的已实现盈亏比（90 日移动均线）跌破 1，表明投资者正在亏损出售持仓，这是自 2022 年以来首次出现此类信号。
历史数据显示，该指标跌破 1 后通常伴随至少六个月的亏损实现期，并预示价格进一步下行：2022 年熊市中比特币在指标跌破 1 后六个月内下跌 25%，2018 年则在五个月内下跌超 50%。Glassnode 指出，若历史重演，比特币可能“完全过渡到过度亏损实现阶段”，价格跌势或持续五个月以上。
基于 MVRV 定价区间指标，比特币当前极端低值区域约在 43,760 美元附近，该水平历史上曾与熊市底部重合，亦处于多名分析师预测的 40,000-50,000 美元潜在底部区间内。
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