瑞银:美降息及地缘政治风险加剧,金价将升至 6200 美元

链捕手
Feb 24

ChainCatcher 消息,瑞银重申对黄金的积极立场,预计未来数月国际现货黄金目标价达 6200 美元/盎司。分析师认为,在美国与伊朗紧张局势下,地缘政治风险将持续高企,而美联储宽松周期预计将继续,对实际利率构成压力。

分析师指出,2025 年全球黄金需求突破 5000 吨,瑞银预计,在更强劲的投资流动和各国央行持续购买的推动下,金价将进一步上涨。供应方面,增长似乎受限。

虽然金价高企可能激励勘探活动,但咨询公司伍德麦肯兹估计,到 2028 年,约有 80 座矿山将耗尽当前的生产计划,这表明短期内供应弹性有限。

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