比推消息， 链上数据机构 Glassnode 指出，比特币正进入“过度止损”（excess loss-realization）阶段，若延续历史走势，价格可能在未来数月继续承压，潜在下行目标指向 4.4 万美元附近。数据显示，周一比特币 90 日移动平均“已实现盈亏比”跌破 1，意味着市场整体处于亏损卖出状态，该指标低于 1 通常反映恐慌性抛售、保证金压力或宏观风险偏好下降。历史上，该指标跌破 1 后，往往伴随至少六个月的持续亏损兑现周期；若重新站上 1，则通常预示抛压缓解。
比推消息， 链上数据机构 Glassnode 指出，比特币正进入“过度止损”（excess loss-realization）阶段，若延续历史走势，价格可能在未来数月继续承压，潜在下行目标指向 4.4 万美元附近。数据显示，周一比特币 90 日移动平均“已实现盈亏比”跌破 1，意味着市场整体处于亏损卖出状态，该指标低于 1 通常反映恐慌性抛售、保证金压力或宏观风险偏好下降。历史上，该指标跌破 1 后，往往伴随至少六个月的持续亏损兑现周期；若重新站上 1，则通常预示抛压缓解。
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