分析:美国经济环境料将促使美联储在鲍威尔任期结束前维持利率不变

环球市场播报
Feb 24

  Comerica Bank的Bill Adams在一份报告中称,从美联储的角度来看,美国的经济增长势头良好,但通胀仍然过高。这位首席经济学家称,在这种环境下,预计美联储将维持短期利率稳定,直至主席Jerome Powell的任期于5月份结束。他称,2026年经济增长将受益于利率下降、政府支出增加、美联储去年的降息以及房地产市场改善等有利因素。他称,预计进一步的支撑将来自持续的人工智能(AI)热潮,以及最高法院上周裁定无效的对等关税的退款。“增长面临的最大下行风险来自劳动力供应瓶颈,这可能加剧通胀反弹,“他称。

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