美国经济背景因素使得美联储有可能在鲍威尔任期结束前一直维持利率不变

BitPush
Feb 24

比推消息,据金十报道, ComericaBank 首席经济学家比尔·亚当斯在一份报告中表示,美联储 FOMC 委员会的观点是,美国的经济增长势头看起来良好,但通货膨胀率仍过高。在这种背景下,美联储将在鲍威尔的任期于 5 月结束前保持短期利率不变。2026 年,由于利率降低、政府支出增加、美联储去年的降息举措以及房地产市场的改善,经济增长将受到有利因素的推动。持续的人工智能热潮以及上周最高法院废除的对等关税的退税也将为经济增长提供进一步的支持。经济增长面临的最大下行风险来自劳动力供应瓶颈,这可能会引发通货膨胀的反弹。

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