ChainCatcher 消息，CryptoQuant 在 X 平台发文分析指出，USDT 当前处于极端流动性压力状态，类似 2022 年市场底部时期，同时稳定币交易所净流入量已从 2025 年 11 月的 6.16 亿美元高点降至 2,700 万美元，显示边际买盘力量减弱，“可部署至加密市场的流动性正在收缩”。
此外，预测市场数据显示交易者正加大对比特币进一步下行的押注力度，去中心化预测平台 Polymarket 上比特币跌破 55,000 美元的概率已升至 72%，相关合约累计交易量达 12 亿美元，此外跌破 50,000 美元与 45,000 美元的概率分别为 67% 与 47%，对应交易量分别约 17 万美元与 14 亿美元。
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