Assessing HUB24’s Valuation After Strong Half Year Earnings And Higher Interim Dividend

Simply Wall St.

Feb 26

AdvertisementWhy HUB24’s latest earnings and dividend move matter HUB24 (ASX:HUB) has drawn investor attention after releasing half year results to 31 December 2025, reporting higher revenue, higher ...

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However, the 1 year...","collect":0,"end_time":0,"defaultTopTitle":"simplywall.st","property":[],"viewcount":null,"language":"en","relate_stocks":{"HUB.AU":"HUB24 LTD","BK7054":"投资银行业与经纪业"},"translate_title":"在强劲的半年盈利和较高的中期股息后评估HUB24的估值","themeId":null,"isJumpTheme":false,"ttsUrl":null,"symbols_score_info":{"HUB.AU":1},"content_text":"AdvertisementWhy HUB24’s latest earnings and dividend move matter HUB24 (ASX:HUB) has drawn investor attention after releasing half year results to 31 December 2025, reporting higher revenue, higher net income and a larger fully franked interim dividend declared for shareholders. See our latest analysis for HUB24. HUB24’s latest earnings and dividend update comes after a softer patch for the share price, with a 30 day share price return of 6.9% and a 90 day share price return of 7.18%. However, the 1 year total shareholder return of 24.21% and a very large 5 year total shareholder return suggest long term holders have still seen strong overall gains despite recent consolidation. If this result has you thinking about where else growth and re-rating potential might emerge, it could be worth scanning our screener of 1 top founder-led companies as a starting list of ideas. With HUB24’s share price treading water over the past quarter despite higher earnings and a larger dividend, the key question now is whether the recent result leaves room for upside or if the market already prices in future growth. Most Popular Narrative: 11.1% Undervalued HUB24’s most followed narrative puts fair value at A$108.30, above the last close of A$96.25, which helps explain why sentiment around the latest result has stayed constructive.  The strategic positioning of HUB24 as a market leader with strong growth in funds under administration (FUA) suggests potential for ongoing revenue growth, as indicated by a 4-year CAGR of 42% in group revenue. This is complemented by a substantial increase in market share from 6.6% to 7.9% over the last 12 months.  Read the complete narrative. Curious what kind of revenue trajectory and profit margins are baked into that fair value, and how rich a future earnings multiple the narrative leans on? The full story spells out those assumptions in detail, including how fast earnings are expected to climb and what return on equity could look like if everything lines up. According to the most popular narrative, those long term cash flows are discounted back at 7.68%, with expectations for double digit revenue growth, higher profit margins and a still elevated future P/E multiple all feeding into the A$108.30 figure. The result is a view that HUB24 is modestly undervalued, but it also relies on earnings and margins stepping up meaningfully from today’s levels. Result: Fair Value of A$108.30 (UNDERVALUED) Have a read of the narrative in full and understand what's behind the forecasts. However, this depends on assumptions that could be pressured if competition forces lower pricing or if higher operating and technology costs reduce the expected margin improvement. Find out about the key risks to this HUB24 narrative. Another View: Rich P/E Puts More Pressure On The Story While the narrative-based fair value suggests upside, HUB24 currently trades on a P/E of 73.6x, compared with 20.5x for the Australian Capital Markets industry, 36.9x for peers, and a fair ratio of 21.2x. That is a wide gap, so how comfortable are you paying that kind of premium? See what the numbers say about this price — find out in our valuation breakdown. ASX:HUB P/E Ratio as at Feb 2026Next Steps With all this in mind, do you feel the optimism around HUB24 is justified, or a bit stretched? Act quickly, review the numbers for yourself, and weigh them against the 2 key rewards. Looking for more investment ideas? If HUB24 is on your radar, do not stop there. The right watchlist can be the difference between spotting tomorrow’s opportunity early and hearing about it after the move.  Hunt for value by scanning companies that look attractively priced on quality metrics with our 6 high quality undervalued stocks. Prioritise resilience and capital strength by checking out the solid balance sheet and fundamentals stocks screener (18 results) that highlights financially robust businesses. Target stability and income by reviewing the 9 dividend fortresses that focuses on companies with higher yielding payouts.   This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data\n    and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your\n    financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data.\n    Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material.\n    Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.Valuation is complex, but we're here to simplify it.Discover if HUB24 might be undervalued or overvalued with our detailed analysis, featuring fair value estimates, potential risks, dividends, insider trades, and its financial condition.Access Free AnalysisHave feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team@simplywallst.com","kind":"highlight","is_publish_news":true,"is_publish_highlight":false,"is_publish_live":false,"is_publish_wemedia":null,"editions":null,"column":"","sentiment":"1","news_tag":"dataReport","news_rank":0,"symbols":[],"gpt_button":0,"need_auth":false,"code":"91000000","status":"200"}}}