尽管过去六个月黄金上涨 51%,而比特币下跌 43%,但链上数据机构认为,这种极端背离历史预示着显著的上涨空间。此外,Coinbase 溢价指数自 1 月 15 日以来首次转正,伴随周二 2.58 亿美元的现货 ETF 净流入,显示美国机构买盘正在回归。QCP Capital 创始人 Darius Sit 表示,这种背离反映的是仓位平仓和杠杆驱动的流动性变化,而非比特币长期叙事的失效。
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