A Look At Pagaya Technologies’ Valuation After Analyst Backing Following Sharp Investor Selloff

Simply Wall St.

Feb 26

AdvertisementAnalyst-triggered volatility puts focus on Pagaya’s fundamentals Recent analyst commentary on Pagaya Technologies (PGY) was sparked by a sharp investor selloff that several analysts ...

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This has brought its AI driven lending platform back into focus for investors.\nSee our latest analysis for Pagaya Technologies.\nThat analyst pushback comes after a rough stretch for the stock, with a 30 day share price return of 45.27% and a 90 day share...","collect":0,"end_time":0,"defaultTopTitle":"simplywall.st","property":[],"viewcount":null,"language":"en","relate_stocks":{"PGY.AU":"PILOT ENERGY LTD","BK4588":"碎股","BK7142":"石油与天然气的勘探与生产","BK4528":"SaaS概念","BK4585":"ETF&股票定投概念","LU1861217088.USD":"贝莱德金融科技A2","AIYY":"YIELDMAX AI OPTION INCOME STRATEGY ETF","LU2360107671.USD":"BGF FINTECH \"A4\" (USD) INC","BK4023":"应用软件","AI":"C3.ai, Inc.","LU1861220207.SGD":"Blackrock FinTech A2 SGD-H","BK4543":"AI","PGY":"Pagaya Technologies Ltd.","BK4551":"寇图资本持仓","BK4587":"ChatGPT概念"},"translate_title":"投资者大幅抛售后分析师支持Pagaya Technologies的估值","themeId":null,"isJumpTheme":false,"ttsUrl":null,"symbols_score_info":{"PGY.AU":1,"AIYY":0.6,"AI":0.82,"PGY":1},"content_text":"AdvertisementAnalyst-triggered volatility puts focus on Pagaya’s fundamentals Recent analyst commentary on Pagaya Technologies (PGY) was sparked by a sharp investor selloff that several analysts viewed as disconnected from the company’s fundamentals. This has brought its AI driven lending platform back into focus for investors. See our latest analysis for Pagaya Technologies. That analyst pushback comes after a rough stretch for the stock, with a 30 day share price return of 45.27% and a 90 day share price return of 50.71%, while the 1 year total shareholder return of 11.43% suggests the recent downswing has been sharper than the longer term experience. If Pagaya’s swings have you reassessing the AI lending space, it could be a good moment to scan 58 profitable AI stocks that aren't just burning cash for other names with earnings already in place. With Pagaya trading at $11.85 against analyst targets that sit much higher, and with management signaling no credit stress, the key question is whether the recent slump leaves a genuine opportunity or whether markets already reflect future growth. Most Popular Narrative: 65.2% Undervalued Pagaya’s most followed narrative places fair value at $34.05, far above the last close at $11.85, which naturally raises questions about the assumptions behind that gap.  AI-Driven Underwriting Platform • Core Product: Pagaya’s AI-powered platform for financial underwriting and risk assessment is a key driver of revenue. As financial institutions increasingly adopt AI solutions for more accurate and efficient decision-making, Pagaya’s platform could become integral to their operations, leading to higher adoption rates and increased revenue. • Impact on Earnings: Continued refinement and expansion of its AI technology, particularly for loan origination, credit scoring, and asset-backed securities, could lead to higher volume of transactions, improved margins, and stronger partnership growth.  Read the complete narrative. According to yyzjons, this valuation leans heavily on punchy earnings growth forecasts, rising margins and a richer profit multiple than the market is currently assigning. Want to see which revenue path and profitability targets are doing the heavy lifting in that $34.05 figure, and how they tie back to Pagaya’s ABS ambitions and lending partnerships? Result: Fair Value of $34.05 (UNDERVALUED) Have a read of the narrative in full and understand what's behind the forecasts. However, the story can change quickly if AI adoption in lending slows or if tighter credit conditions hit Pagaya’s ABS volumes and partner demand at the same time. Find out about the key risks to this Pagaya Technologies narrative. Next Steps If this mix of optimism and concern around Pagaya feels familiar, it is a good time to move quickly, review the underlying data yourself and weigh both sides of the argument, starting with 4 key rewards and 2 important warning signs. Ready to scout your next ideas? If Pagaya has sharpened your thinking, do not stop here. Use these focused stock lists to pressure test your approach and broaden your opportunity set.  Spot potential mispricings by scanning our list of 53 high quality undervalued stocks that pair quality fundamentals with prices that may not fully reflect them. Prioritise resilience by checking out solid balance sheet and fundamentals stocks screener (41 results) for companies that pair financial strength with consistent fundamentals. Get a head start on the crowd by reviewing our screener containing 23 high quality undiscovered gems that combine solid metrics with relatively low market attention.   This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data\n    and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your\n    financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data.\n    Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material.\n    Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.New: Manage All Your Stock Portfolios in One PlaceWe've created the ultimate portfolio companion for stock investors, and it's free.• Connect an unlimited number of Portfolios and see your total in one currency• Be alerted to new Warning Signs or Risks via email or mobile• Track the Fair Value of your stocksTry a Demo Portfolio for FreeHave feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team@simplywallst.com","kind":"highlight","is_publish_news":true,"is_publish_highlight":false,"is_publish_live":false,"is_publish_wemedia":null,"editions":null,"column":"","sentiment":"0","news_tag":"","news_rank":0,"symbols":[],"gpt_button":0,"need_auth":false,"code":"91000000","status":"200"}}}