A Look At Southern Copper (SCCO) Valuation After A Strong Multi Year Share Price Run

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AdvertisementShort term and long term return snapshot Southern Copper (SCCO) has drawn attention after a strong run across multiple timeframes, with the stock showing gains over the past day, week, ...

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For context, the company’s reported total returns are 3.0% over the past day, 4.6% over the past week, 13.3% over the past month and 61.7% over the past 3 months, based on the latest data provided. Looking further out, Southern Copper’s total return figures stand at 40.4% year to date, 137.7% over the past year, roughly 2.4x over 3 years and about 2.6x over 5 years. These figures reflect a sustained period of strong shareholder outcomes in the data available. See our latest analysis for Southern Copper. At a share price of US$207.05, Southern Copper has shown strong momentum over the past year, with solid short term share price returns and substantial multi year total shareholder returns that suggest sentiment has shifted in its favor. If this copper rally has your attention, it could be a good moment to see what else is moving in the space with our 8 top copper producer stocks as a starting list of ideas. Southern Copper now trades well above the latest analyst price target and sits at a premium to some intrinsic value estimates. The key question is whether you see mispricing here or a market already baking in future growth. Most Popular Narrative: 38.5% Overvalued At a last close of $207.05 versus a narrative fair value of $149.54, the most followed storyline around Southern Copper leans toward a rich valuation built on strong cash generation and high margins.  Operational efficiencies and a strong focus on cost control have led to a reduction in cash costs, with expectations to sustain low costs between $0.75 to $0.80 per pound of copper in 2025, potentially boosting net margins and earnings.  Read the complete narrative. Curious what justifies pricing Southern Copper well above this fair value marker? The narrative leans heavily on steady revenue growth, rising margins and a premium future earnings multiple. Want to see exactly how those moving pieces are stitched together into that discounted cash flow view and long term profit profile? Result: Fair Value of $149.54 (OVERVALUED) Have a read of the narrative in full and understand what's behind the forecasts. However, there is still meaningful risk that higher operating costs or fresh disruptions at key projects could pressure margins and unsettle the current valuation story. Find out about the key risks to this Southern Copper narrative. Next Steps Given this mix of optimism and concern, it makes sense to look at the full picture quickly and decide where you stand, starting with our view of 2 key rewards and 2 important warning signs. Looking for more investment ideas? If Southern Copper has sharpened your focus, do not stop here. Use the Simply Wall St screener to quickly spot other opportunities that fit your style.  Target quality at a discount and scan our list of 56 high quality undervalued stocks that combine solid fundamentals with prices that may not fully reflect their strengths. Strengthen your income stream by reviewing 15 dividend fortresses that offer higher yields and can help anchor the cash flow side of your portfolio. Dial down portfolio risk and check out 80 resilient stocks with low risk scores where the emphasis is on steadier balance sheets and lower overall risk scores.   This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data\n    and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your\n    financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data.\n    Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material.\n    Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.New: Manage All Your Stock Portfolios in One PlaceWe've created the ultimate portfolio companion for stock investors, and it's free.• Connect an unlimited number of Portfolios and see your total in one currency• Be alerted to new Warning Signs or Risks via email or mobile• Track the Fair Value of your stocksTry a Demo Portfolio for FreeHave feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team@simplywallst.com","kind":"highlight","is_publish_news":true,"is_publish_highlight":false,"is_publish_live":false,"is_publish_wemedia":null,"editions":null,"column":"","sentiment":"0","news_tag":"","news_rank":0,"symbols":[],"gpt_button":0,"need_auth":false,"code":"91000000","status":"200"}}}