智通财经APP获悉，镍业股早盘普涨，截至发稿，力勤资源(02245)涨8.33%，报29.64港元；新疆新鑫矿业(03833)涨3.42%，报2.72港元；中伟新材(02579)涨3.4%，报38.28港元。
消息面上，据报道，印尼莫罗瓦利镍矿中心发生山体滑坡，导致一名工人遇难，并冲走了数台挖掘机、推土机和倾卸卡车。方正证券认为，这将对印尼镍产出造成影响，考虑到印尼政府对镍价的力挺态度，镍价有望在1.8万美元以上运行。
据悉，印尼政府预计镍矿2026年配额为2.5-2.6亿吨，相较于2025年的3.79亿吨降幅超过34%。国信证券发布研报称，印尼是全球最大的镍矿供应国，同时也有着非常成熟的配额制制度，其有意通过政策的调整来提高镍矿开发的门槛及成本。该行认为，未来镍价的变化将主要取决于印尼镍矿配额的调整，不完全排除印尼政府极端收紧镍矿供给的黑天鹅事件。
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