港股异动 | 铝业股继续走高 海外电解铝减产预期上升 电解铝板块估值有望逐步修复

智通财经
Feb 25

智通财经APP获悉,铝业股继续走高,截至发稿,中国铝业(02600)涨5.3%,报13.91港元;南山铝业国际(02610)涨4.98%,报64.25港元;中国宏桥(01378)涨2.61%,报36.96港元;创新实业(02788)涨2.31%,报24.8港元。

消息面上,海外缺电担忧升温,市场对海外电解铝减产预期上升。招银国际指出,当前中国原铝产能利用率已接近政策上限的99%,同时海外新增产能释放有限,这将支撑全球铝市维持短缺状态,预计2026年铝均价同比上涨15%。

长江证券则表示,基于电解铝股息率高达5%的优质红利资产,且国内产能天花板+海外电力紧缺掣肘共同赋予其资源刚性属性,叠加软着陆降息后全球工业景气底部复苏,三重逻辑共振支撑电解铝板块估值有望从当前8-10X,逐步修复至12X-15X。

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