金吾财讯 | 国泰海通发研报指，航空客流：春运需求旺盛客流再创新高，节后客流增速继续提升。2026年春运需求旺盛，截至3月1日（春运前28天）全社会人员流动量农历同比增长5.8%，其中公路+5.6%，铁路+8.1%，航空+6.9%。2026年春运民航加班较为有限，且局方严控干线市场航司增加与客运增班。据航班管家统计，春运前28天日均客班同比增长超5%，我们估算客座率同比上升超2pct。1）节前：航空客流同比增长5.1%，领跑主要交通方式；2）节中：客流同比增长升至7.6%，假期延长助力探亲出游两旺且二次出行火爆；3）节后6天：客流同比增长进一步升至9.8%，返程客流集中且公商出行正在逐步恢复。
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