分析:地缘风险被部分消化,比特币技术面出现看涨背离迹象

链捕手
Mar 02

ChainCatcher 消息,Matrixport 发文分析称,市场情绪依然紧绷。不过,由于此前市场对中东局势升级已进行较长时间的交易,相关风险在价格中得到相当程度的消化,油价目前大约计入了每桶 8 至 10 美元的地缘政治溢价。若后续冲突缓和的进程快于市场普遍担忧的情形,风险资产或将迎来一轮战术性反弹。

从技术面看,经历大规模仓位出清后,比特币并未进一步明显下挫,走势仍显韧性。随着行情进入整理阶段,RSI 持续抬升,看涨背离迹象正逐步显现。只要该指标维持震荡上行,价格的下行动能就可能受到抑制。这也意味着,在当前水平继续增量做空,其风险收益比也在边际走弱。

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