风电股震荡走强 东方电气(01072)涨10.43% 机构料“十五五”国内风电装机有望保持稳定增长

金吾财讯
Mar 04

金吾财讯 | 风电股震荡走强,截至发稿,东方电气(01072)涨10.43%,金风科技(02208)涨3.53%,中国高速传动(00658)涨2.04%。华泰证券表示,回顾2025年,陆风装机超年初预期,海风需求有待释放。展望2026年,国内装机或延续高景气,海风贡献度有望提升。考虑到2025年风机招标量维持高位,结合近9GW海风项目处于已开工未并网阶段,该机构预计2026年国内新增装机130GW,其中陆风120GW、海风10GW。展望后续,在绿电直连、以旧换新等新需求支撑下,叠加深远海逐步放量,预计“十五五”国内风电装机有望保持稳定增长。该机构继续看好整机厂盈利修复+海风出海+核心零部件厂经营杠杆释放:1.整机厂盈利修复:国内陆风涨价订单交付比例上升,叠加海风与出海占比提升,有望支撑整机厂盈利修复,氢氨醇业务打开第二增长曲线。2.海风出海:近期地缘冲突导致欧洲能源供给受阻,海风作为本土优质资源,受益于政府补贴扶持,有望迎来需求加速释放;欧洲本土管桩产能紧缺,需求或持续外溢至国内厂商。3.核心零部件厂经营杠杆释放:该机构测算主轴轴承、铸造主轴等环节供需格局偏紧,头部零部件企业产能释放支撑业绩持续向上。

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