消息人士:中东冲突或使日本央行 3 月暂缓加息,加息唯一因素是日元大幅贬值

BitPush
Mar 03

比推消息,据金十报道, 消息人士称,中东冲突引发的新一轮市场波动提高了日本央行在 3 月暂缓加息的可能性,决策者需要更多时间评估其对经济的影响。唯一可能促使日本央行在 3 月 18 日至 19 日会议上加息的因素是日元大幅贬值。此前在美国对伊朗发动打击后,投资者涌向避险美元,日元承压走弱逼近 160 关口。但随着中东冲突扩大冲击金融市场并推高油价,一个高度依赖进口燃料的经济体复苏前景蒙上阴影,3 月加息的门槛已被抬高。消息人士指出,央行正在审慎评估新一轮地缘政治危机对货币政策的影响。在日本央行副行长冰见野良三周一未就即将到来的政策调整释放明确信号后,市场亦下调了对 3 月加息的押注。日本央行高层未释放鹰派信号,与此前形成对比,此前官员通常会提前暗示,以避免令市场措手不及。

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