1000 ET - As the conflict in the Middle East raises oil prices, traders are wary of higher inflation. In futures markets, they are tilting their bets toward a higher interest-rate path from the Federal Reserve. In recent trading, futures markets now reflect a 30% probability that the Fed will cut rates by only a quarter percentage point or less this year, up from 20% on Friday. (matt.grossman@wsj.com; @mattgrossman)
(END) Dow Jones Newswires
March 02, 2026 10:00 ET (15:00 GMT)
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