Assessing Ameresco (AMRC) Valuation After Mixed Long Term Returns And Conflicting Fair Value Estimates

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Mar 04

AdvertisementAmeresco snapshot and recent share performance Ameresco (AMRC) has drawn attention after a mixed stretch in the share price, with a small 1 day gain alongside declines over the past week,...

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overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nAssessing Ameresco (AMRC) Valuation After Mixed Long Term Returns And Conflicting Fair Value Estimates\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2026-03-04 01:39 GMT+8&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<a href=https://simplywall.st/stocks/us/capital-goods/nyse-amrc/ameresco/news/assessing-ameresco-amrc-valuation-after-mixed-long-term-retu><strong>Simply Wall St.</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>AdvertisementAmeresco snapshot and recent share performance Ameresco (AMRC) has drawn attention after a mixed stretch in the share price, with a small 1 day gain alongside declines over the past week,...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://simplywall.st/stocks/us/capital-goods/nyse-amrc/ameresco/news/assessing-ameresco-amrc-valuation-after-mixed-long-term-retu\">Source Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","isBrief":false,"type":0,"news_type":1,"symbol":"DCF","symbol_name":"Dreyfus Alcentra Global Credit Income 2024 Target Term Fund, Inc","start_time":0,"source_url":"https://simplywall.st/stocks/us/capital-goods/nyse-amrc/ameresco/news/assessing-ameresco-amrc-valuation-after-mixed-long-term-retu","article_id":"2616373229","we_media_id":null,"thumbnails":["https://images.simplywall.st/asset/industry/3041000-choice1-main-header/1585186744280"],"rights":{"source":"simplywall_highlight","url":"https://simplywall.st/stocks/us/capital-goods/nyse-amrc/ameresco/news/assessing-ameresco-amrc-valuation-after-mixed-long-term-retu","rn_cache_url":null,"directOrigin":true},"url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=2616373229","pubTimestamp":1772559560,"columns":[],"sourceInfo":{"source_id":"simplywall_highlight","name":"Simply Wall St."},"weMediaInfo":null,"summary":"Ameresco snapshot and recent share performance\nAmeresco (AMRC) has drawn attention after a mixed stretch in the share price, with a small 1 day gain alongside declines over the past week, month and past 3 months.\nOver the past year, the stock shows a 193.09% total return. In contrast, the past 3 years and 5 years reflect total returns of 33.38% and 22.06% declines respectively, creating a varied backdrop for anyone tracking longer term performance.\nSee our latest analysis for...","collect":0,"end_time":0,"defaultTopTitle":"simplywall.st","property":[],"viewcount":null,"language":"en","relate_stocks":{"DCF":"Dreyfus Alcentra Global Credit Income 2024 Target Term Fund, Inc","BK4129":"建筑与工程","AMRC":"阿梅雷斯克"},"translate_title":"在混合的长期回报和相互冲突的公允价值估计后评估Ameresco(AMRC)的估值","themeId":null,"isJumpTheme":false,"ttsUrl":null,"symbols_score_info":{"DCF":1,"AMRC":1.5},"content_text":"AdvertisementAmeresco snapshot and recent share performance Ameresco (AMRC) has drawn attention after a mixed stretch in the share price, with a small 1 day gain alongside declines over the past week, month and past 3 months. Over the past year, the stock shows a 193.09% total return. In contrast, the past 3 years and 5 years reflect total returns of 33.38% and 22.06% declines respectively, creating a varied backdrop for anyone tracking longer term performance. See our latest analysis for Ameresco. Ameresco’s 1 day share price gain of 1.61% to US$30.95 comes after weaker recent share price returns, while the very strong 1 year total shareholder return stands out against longer term declines. If Ameresco’s recent swings have you rethinking your watchlist, it might be a good time to look at other energy transition names, including 23 power grid technology and infrastructure stocks. With Ameresco trading at US$30.95 against an analyst price target of US$43.50 and a mixed record across 1, 3 and 5 year returns, is this a genuine opportunity, or are markets already pricing in future growth? Most Popular Narrative: 28.9% Undervalued Ameresco’s most followed narrative pegs fair value at about $43.50, comfortably above the last close at $30.95. This sets up a clear valuation gap for investors to weigh.  Growing recurring O&M contract revenue and a rising base of operating energy assets (now at 750MW) are providing Ameresco with more predictable, higher-margin income, supporting greater financial stability and margin expansion over time.  Read the complete narrative. Curious what earnings path and margin profile could justify that higher fair value, and how recurring income feeds into the model assumptions? The full narrative spells out the revenue build, profit trajectory and future earnings multiple that underpin the $43.50 figure, along with how a higher required return is applied to those cash flows. Result: Fair Value of $43.50 (UNDERVALUED) Have a read of the narrative in full and understand what's behind the forecasts. However, supply chain setbacks or changes to clean energy policy could delay projects, pressure margins, and challenge the earnings and P/E assumptions behind that $43.50 fair value. Find out about the key risks to this Ameresco narrative. Another View: SWS DCF Model Points the Other Way While the popular narrative suggests Ameresco is 28.9% undervalued at a fair value of $43.50, our DCF model comes to a very different result. On this approach, Ameresco’s future cash flow value is $10.27, which would make the current $30.95 share price look expensive rather than cheap. Which story do you think holds up better under your own assumptions? Look into how the SWS DCF model arrives at its fair value. AMRC Discounted Cash Flow as at Mar 2026Simply Wall St performs a discounted cash flow (DCF) on every stock in the world every day (check out Ameresco for example). We show the entire calculation in full. You can track the result in your watchlist or portfolio and be alerted when this changes, or use our stock screener to discover 45 high quality undervalued stocks. If you save a screener we even alert you when new companies match - so you never miss a potential opportunity. Next Steps The mixed signals here can feel confusing, so it makes sense to look at the underlying numbers yourself and move quickly to shape your own view. A good starting point is 4 key rewards and 2 important warning signs. Looking for more investment ideas? If Ameresco has sharpened your focus, do not stop here. Use the screener to compare other ideas side by side and pressure test your portfolio thinking.  Target potential mispricings by reviewing companies our tools flag as 45 high quality undervalued stocks, and see which ones deserve a closer look on your watchlist. Prioritize resilience by scanning 76 resilient stocks with low risk scores, so you can focus on businesses where our model highlights lower overall risk scores. Spot early stories that the market may not be focused on yet using our screener containing 24 high quality undiscovered gems, and decide which ones merit deeper research.   This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data\n    and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your\n    financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data.\n    Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material.\n    Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.New: Manage All Your Stock Portfolios in One PlaceWe've created the ultimate portfolio companion for stock investors, and it's free.• Connect an unlimited number of Portfolios and see your total in one currency• Be alerted to new Warning Signs or Risks via email or mobile• Track the Fair Value of your stocksTry a Demo Portfolio for FreeHave feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team@simplywallst.com","kind":"highlight","is_publish_news":true,"is_publish_highlight":false,"is_publish_live":false,"is_publish_wemedia":null,"editions":null,"column":"","sentiment":"0","news_tag":"","news_rank":0,"symbols":[],"gpt_button":0,"need_auth":false,"code":"91000000","status":"200"}}}