花旗:降玖龙纸业(02689)评级至“中性” 目标价下调至8.8港元

智通财经
Mar 02

智通财经APP获悉,花旗发布研报称,基于近期废纸成本及年初至今纸浆价格较2025年第四季出现超预期的价格调整,下调玖龙纸业(02689) 2026、2027及2028财年盈利预测9%、12%及7%。这反映2025年第四季的高基数是由于反内卷措施所致,而近期的价格调整则由农历新年淡季及消费疲软引起。该行也将目标价由先前的9.5港元下调至8.8港元。

该行认为,玖龙纸业股价年初至今已上升约50%,应已完全反映2026财年上半年亮丽的业绩。因此,该行下调其评级,由“买入”降至“中性”,认为上行空间有限。花旗同时开启30日负面催化观察,基于预期中国(旧瓦楞纸箱)OCC成本在第二季淡季将下滑,预期2026财年下半年纯利将同比下跌7%,每吨净利润由去年同期的129元人民币收窄至101元人民币。

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