金吾财讯 | 中泰国际表示，近日美国及以色列攻击伊朗，这无疑加深地缘政治危机，以及影响石油及天然气等传统能源供应。WTI原油价格上涨至70美元近月高水平，虽然如此，仍远低于2022年俄乌军事冲突爆发时候的100至115美元水平。黄金价格则上升至今年初的5,300美元高水平。在此次战争情况下，相关港股板块表现出传统投资逻辑。“三桶油”上升2.6%-5.6%，金矿股例如招金矿业(01818)上升6.0%；航空股例如国泰航空(00293)及国航(00753)则下跌4.1%-5.3%。料上述板块短期仍较波动，中期则视乎战争是否扩大及持久。相对上，近年美国不会轻易参与大型地面战争。此外，由于伊朗的若干主要领导已经阵亡，除非短期未来伊朗有效反击美国及以色列，否则战争缓和的可能性仍较高。如是这样，料港股大市中期反弹，航空股尤其明显。
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