大行评级丨小摩:“黑天鹅叠加”提振超大型油轮盈利能力,上调中远海能目标价

中金财经
Mar 03

  摩根大通发表报告,对中远海能A股评级由“中性”上调至“增持”,维持H股“增持”评级,并修改估值方法,由市账率改为市盈率,以H股及A股今年目标市盈率15倍及21倍计,H股目标价由12港元倍升至24港元,A股目标价由13元大幅上调至28元,因三项结构性冲击(伊朗、合规运力收紧及市场整合)重塑了超大型油轮的盈利能力,使其处于更高水平。   基础情境下,摩通对2026财年预测TD3C基准运费均值由每日9万美元上调至11.5万美元,即使成本预测上调,仍对中远海能2025至27年各年纯利预测上调分别3%、18%及13%。本年至今中远海能H股及A股累升114%及94%,反映合规运力供应收紧及中东地缘风险,但摩通认为其盈利可持续性及运力整合影响仍未完全浮现。   

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