Is Dollar General (DG) Still Attractive After A 114.5% One Year Share Price Surge

Simply Wall St.

Mar 04

If you are wondering whether Dollar General's current share price lines up with its underlying value, you are not alone. This article is built to help you unpack that question. The stock last closed ...

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This article is built to help you unpack that question. The stock last closed ...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://simplywall.st/stocks/us/consumer-retailing/nyse-dg/dollar-general/news/is-dollar-general-dg-still-attractive-after-a-1145-one-year\">Source Link</a>\n\n</div>\n","source":"simplywall_highlight","html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Is Dollar General (DG) Still Attractive After A 114.5% One Year Share Price Surge</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nIs Dollar General (DG) Still Attractive After A 114.5% One Year Share Price Surge\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2026-03-04 14:22 GMT+8&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<a href=https://simplywall.st/stocks/us/consumer-retailing/nyse-dg/dollar-general/news/is-dollar-general-dg-still-attractive-after-a-1145-one-year><strong>Simply Wall St.</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>If you are wondering whether Dollar General's current share price lines up with its underlying value, you are not alone. This article is built to help you unpack that question. The stock last closed ...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://simplywall.st/stocks/us/consumer-retailing/nyse-dg/dollar-general/news/is-dollar-general-dg-still-attractive-after-a-1145-one-year\">Source Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","isBrief":false,"type":0,"news_type":1,"symbol":"BK4114","symbol_name":"综合货品商店","start_time":0,"source_url":"https://simplywall.st/stocks/us/consumer-retailing/nyse-dg/dollar-general/news/is-dollar-general-dg-still-attractive-after-a-1145-one-year","article_id":"2616589459","we_media_id":null,"thumbnails":["https://images.simplywall.st/asset/industry/4432000-choice1-main-header/1585186862198"],"rights":{"source":"simplywall_highlight","url":"https://simplywall.st/stocks/us/consumer-retailing/nyse-dg/dollar-general/news/is-dollar-general-dg-still-attractive-after-a-1145-one-year","rn_cache_url":null,"directOrigin":true},"url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=2616589459","pubTimestamp":1772605322,"columns":[],"sourceInfo":{"source_id":"simplywall_highlight","name":"Simply Wall St."},"weMediaInfo":null,"summary":"If you are wondering whether Dollar General's current share price lines up with its underlying value, you are not alone. This article is built to help you unpack that question.\nThe stock last closed at US$153.04, with a 1 year return of 114.5%, a year to date return of 11.9%, a 30 day return of 6.7%, a 7 day return of a 0.6% decline, and longer term 3 year and 5 year returns of 25.8% and 11.4% declines.\nRecent headlines around Dollar General have focused on its position in US discount retail...","collect":0,"end_time":0,"defaultTopTitle":"simplywall.st","property":[],"viewcount":null,"language":"en","relate_stocks":{"BK4114":"综合货品商店","DCF":"Dreyfus Alcentra Global Credit Income 2024 Target Term Fund, Inc","LU1989763690.USD":"东方汇理世代食品基金A2 Acc","DG":"美国达乐公司","BK4504":"桥水持仓","LU0162691827.USD":"BGF US BASIC VALUE \"A4\" INC","LU1989763427.SGD":"CPR Invest - Food For Generations A2 Acc SGD-H","LU0320765489.SGD":"FTIF - Franklin Mutual US Value A Acc SGD","LU0208291251.USD":"FRANKLIN MUTUAL U.S. VALUE \"A\" (USD) INC","LU0070302665.USD":"FRANKLIN MUTUAL U.S. VALUE \"A\" (USD) ACC","LU1585245621.USD":"EASTSPRING INV GLOBAL LOW VOLATILITY EQUITY FUND \"A\" (USD) ACC B","BK4588":"碎股","BK4585":"ETF&股票定投概念","LU0072461881.USD":"BGF US BASIC VALUE \"A2\" ACC","LU1430594728.SGD":"Eastspring Investments - Global Low Volatility Equity AS SGD","BK4155":"大卖场与超市"},"translate_title":"Dollar General(DG)股价一年飙升114.5%后仍有吸引力吗","themeId":null,"isJumpTheme":false,"ttsUrl":null,"symbols_score_info":{"DCF":1,"DG":1.5},"content_text":"If you are wondering whether Dollar General's current share price lines up with its underlying value, you are not alone. This article is built to help you unpack that question. The stock last closed at US$153.04, with a 1 year return of 114.5%, a year to date return of 11.9%, a 30 day return of 6.7%, a 7 day return of a 0.6% decline, and longer term 3 year and 5 year returns of 25.8% and 11.4% declines. Recent headlines around Dollar General have focused on its position in US discount retail and how it is responding to consumer demand and competitive pressures. This helps frame how investors are thinking about the business and provides important context when you look at how the market is currently pricing the stock. Simply Wall St currently gives Dollar General a valuation score of 1 out of 6, which means it screens as undervalued on only one of six checks. Next, we will look at how different valuation methods assess the stock and then finish with a way to tie those methods together into a clearer view of value.  Dollar General scores just 1/6 on our valuation checks. See what other red flags we found in the full valuation breakdown. AdvertisementApproach 1: Dollar General Discounted Cash Flow (DCF) Analysis A Discounted Cash Flow, or DCF, model estimates what a company might be worth by projecting its future cash flows and discounting them back to today’s dollars. For Dollar General, the latest twelve month Free Cash Flow is about $2.1b. Simply Wall St uses a 2 Stage Free Cash Flow to Equity model that combines analyst forecasts with its own extrapolations. Analyst inputs and model estimates suggest Free Cash Flow of about $1.9b in 2030, with a series of projected cash flows between 2026 and 2035 that are discounted back to reflect the time value of money and risk. Adding those discounted cash flows together yields an estimated intrinsic value of about $180.00 per share. Compared with the recent share price of $153.04, this DCF points to an implied 15.0% discount, which suggests the shares currently screen as undervalued on this measure. Result: UNDERVALUED Our Discounted Cash Flow (DCF) analysis suggests Dollar General is undervalued by 15.0%. Track this in your watchlist or portfolio, or discover 49 more high quality undervalued stocks. DG Discounted Cash Flow as at Mar 2026 Head to the Valuation section of our Company Report for more details on how we arrive at this Fair Value for Dollar General. Approach 2: Dollar General Price vs Earnings For profitable companies like Dollar General, the P/E ratio is a useful way to relate what you pay for the stock to the earnings the business is currently generating. Investors usually accept a higher P/E when they expect stronger earnings growth or see lower perceived risk, and a lower P/E when growth expectations are more modest or risks feel higher. Dollar General is currently trading at a P/E of 26.4x. That sits above the Consumer Retailing industry average of 22.5x and a peer group average of 22.4x, which on a simple comparison suggests the market is placing a higher multiple on its earnings than many of its listed peers. Simply Wall St also looks at a proprietary “Fair Ratio”, which is the P/E level that might be expected for Dollar General given factors such as its earnings growth profile, profit margins, industry, market cap and risk characteristics. This Fair Ratio is 25.0x, and it aims to give a more tailored reference point than blunt peer or industry comparisons because it adjusts for those company specific features. Compared with the current P/E of 26.4x, the shares screen as overvalued on this measure. Result: OVERVALUED NYSE:DG P/E Ratio as at Mar 2026 P/E ratios tell one story, but what if the real opportunity lies elsewhere? Start investing in legacies, not executives. Discover our 18 top founder-led companies. Upgrade Your Decision Making: Choose your Dollar General Narrative Earlier we mentioned that there is an even better way to understand valuation. On Simply Wall St's Community page you can use Narratives, where you link your view of Dollar General's story to a set of revenue, earnings and margin assumptions, turn that into a fair value, and then quickly compare that fair value with the current price. Narratives update as new news or earnings arrive, so you might see one investor framing Dollar General around a higher fair value of about US$164.66 per share, while another uses the same company information to support a lower fair value near US$93.54 per share. For Dollar General, however, we’ll make it really easy for you with previews of two leading Dollar General narratives: 🐂 Dollar General Bull Case Fair value in this bullish scenario: about US$164.66 per share Implied pricing gap vs last close: roughly 7.1% below this fair value Assumed annual revenue growth: about 4.88%  Focuses on margin improvement from store portfolio optimization, pOpshelf expansion, and inventory and SKU clean up. Leans on digital initiatives and remodel programs to support higher sales, better gross margins, and more efficient operations. Anchors on analysts at the higher end of the range, who see stronger earnings power but acknowledge a spread between bullish and bearish targets.  🐻 Dollar General Bear Case Fair value in this more cautious scenario: about US$147.39 per share Implied pricing gap vs last close: roughly 3.8% above this fair value Assumed annual revenue growth: about 4.32%  Builds on expectations for steady growth from store expansion, remodels, and value focused shopping habits rather than aggressive profit acceleration. Highlights execution risks around a heavy rural footprint, ongoing competition, slower digital progress, and rising labor and operating costs. Uses a consensus style price target with moderate revenue and margin assumptions and a fair value that sits closer to, but slightly below, the current market price.  If you want to go beyond these quick previews and see how other investors are framing the same facts into very different stories, Curious how numbers become stories that shape markets? Explore Community Narratives. Do you think there's more to the story for Dollar General? Head over to our Community to see what others are saying! NYSE:DG 1-Year Stock Price Chart  This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data\n    and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your\n    financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data.\n    Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material.\n    Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.New: Manage All Your Stock Portfolios in One PlaceWe've created the ultimate portfolio companion for stock investors, and it's free.• Connect an unlimited number of Portfolios and see your total in one currency• Be alerted to new Warning Signs or Risks via email or mobile• Track the Fair Value of your stocksTry a Demo Portfolio for FreeHave feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team@simplywallst.com","kind":"highlight","is_publish_news":true,"is_publish_highlight":false,"is_publish_live":false,"is_publish_wemedia":null,"editions":null,"column":"","sentiment":"0","news_tag":"","news_rank":0,"symbols":[],"gpt_button":0,"need_auth":false,"code":"91000000","status":"200"}}}