花旗警告:AI恐引发美国通缩危机,美联储降息空间受限

格隆汇
Mar 02

3月2日,花旗最新报告警告称,随着越来越多企业采用AI,最终将导致失业率上升,可能进一步使美国走向通货紧缩之路。经济学家通常认为,通缩比通胀过热更难解决。当物价过快上涨时,美联储可以通过加息来压抑物价;但若陷入通缩,美联储降息的空间有限,一旦利率降至接近零水准后,决策者就必须转向其他政策工具来刺激经济。

在过去一个世纪里,美国仅在少数几次出现通货紧缩,而且每一次都发生在前所未有的经济压力之下,例如大萧条与全球金融危机期间。不过,报告也指出,与AI相关发展对经济产生实质影响的时间点,仍然非常不明确。

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