摩根大通下调对新兴市场的超配建议规模 伊朗战争带来风险

环球市场播报
Mar 03

  由于伊朗战争来的风险,摩根大通下调对新兴市场货币和债券的超配建议规模。

  Jonny Goulden、Anezka Christovova和Arindam Sandilya等策略师在报告中写道,新兴市场资产周一早盘的反应虽为负面,但程度有限,随着冲突给市场带来不确定性,这为降低一些敞口提供了机会。

  “新兴市场固定收益的建设性结构性主题依然存在,”他们写道,“但市场并未为这种近期的不确定性做好准备,新兴市场外汇头寸拥挤,新兴市场利率已消化降息预期,新兴市场信用市场估值偏高。”

  策略师表示,他们将对新兴市场货币和债券的超配仓位权重削减了约一半,“鉴于武装冲突的高度不可预测性,我们可能会在比以往更短的时间窗口内进一步减持或重新加仓。”

  MSCI发展中国家货币基准指数周一早盘跌0.9%,创四个月来最大盘中跌幅,匈牙利福林和波兰兹罗提跌幅居前。

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