机构:非农低于预期为美联储鸽派提供谈资,但近期因素或削弱降息必要性

BitPush
Mar 06

比推消息,据金十报道, 施罗德全球经济主管 David Rees 表示,非农就业数据大幅低于预期,将为美联储内部的鸽派人士提供讨论依据。但至少部分低于预期的差异是由于医疗行业出现的罢工事件所致,而这种情况应该会得到扭转。此外,尽管就业报告表现疲软,但我们认为,在美国经济持续强劲增长的情况下,劳动力需求的持续增长是必然的。目前尚不清楚即将出任美联储主席的凯文·沃什是否会改变其观点,即人工智能的应用将极大地提升美国的生产效率,并为降低利率创造空间。但就业市场的任何复苏,以及中东地区事件带来的通胀风险,都会削弱短期内降息的必要性。

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