英国国债迈向近三年来最糟糕单周表现，中东战事加剧了市场对通胀再度加速的担忧。

　　对政策敏感的两年期国债收益率周五飙升21个基点，本周累计涨幅接近50个基点，创2023年以来最大涨幅。此轮波动源于交易员大幅削减对英国央行今年降息幅度的押注。

　　就在上周，投资者还预期英国政策制定者最早可能在本月降息。但如今这种可能性已微乎其微 —— 卡塔尔这个主要天然气生产国已警告长期能源供应中断。

　　交易员们甚至对英国央行今年降息一次的信心也动摇了。根据掉期定价显示，6月底前降息的概率已降至30%，而此后降息的可能性也在持续萎缩。

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