【特约大V】邓声兴:聚焦全国两会,料将出台更多惠港政策措施

金吾财讯
Mar 05

金吾财讯 | 恒指周二(4日)收市报25249点,跌518点或2.01%。大市全日成交3643亿元。国指跌124点或1.45%,报8483点;科指跌47点或0.96%,报4829点。创科实业(00669)绩后跌1.4%,报121.8元。太平洋航运(02343)去年盈利大跌56%,股价急挫,全日挫10.4%,低见3.19元。道指周二(4日) 收市报48739点,升238点或0.49%。标指涨0.78%,报6869点;纳指飙1.29%,报22807点;重磅股中,亚马逊股价收市涨3.9%,为升幅最大道指成份股;特斯拉(Tesla)升3.4%,Meta攀高1.9%,辉达抽升1.7%。博通(Broadcom)周三收市后公布业绩,股价升1.2%。亚太股市今早(5日)个别走,日经225指数现时报56346点,升2100点或3.87%。南韩综合指数现时报5697点,升604点或11.86%。聚焦全国两会,料将出台更多惠港政策措施。东方电气(01072)东方电气近期获得加拿大客户20台50MW燃气轮机发电机组订单,每台单价高达2亿元人民币,毛利率更达40-50%水平。以2026年预测市盈率港股22倍及A股26倍计算,于全球燃气轮机板块中极具吸引力。保守估计每1GW燃气轮机出口美国可带动收益增加16-20%,预测中国中期电力需求增长达8-9%,为市场共识的两倍,当中人工智能贡献约2.5个百分点。同时约420GW煤电厂存在替换需求,占总容量10%。目前公司自主研发生产的G50重型燃机已具备出口能力,3台机组出海哈萨克斯坦,单台价值量约3亿元,毛利率有望超30%。随着全球AI数据中心建设提速引发“抢燃机”热潮,欧美电网升级周期开启,东方电气有望借此契机切入欧洲、中东及美国等高端市场。短期可关注一季度业绩兑现情况,中期则需跟踪燃气轮机订单交付进度,公司作为中国能源装备龙头,技术壁垒与政策红利将支撑其长远增长。目标价50,止蚀价$35。(笔者为证监会持牌人士及笔者未持有上述股份)

作者:香港股票分析师协会主席邓声兴博士

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