亚特兰大联储GDPNow模型预计一季度GDP增速骤降至2.1%

环球市场播报
Mar 07

  亚特兰大联邦储备银行备受关注的GDPNow模型显示,其对美国第一季度国内生产总值(GDP)的预估值在周五大幅下调至折合年率2.1%,远低于周一预测的3.0%。

  这家地区联储银行表示,预测下调的主要原因是,1月至3月实际个人消费支出增长预期从2.8%降至1.8%,同时实际国内私人投资总额增长预期从7.9%放缓至6.8%。

  该行强调,这一预测“并非亚特兰大联储的官方预测。更准确地说,应将其视为基于当前衡量季度的可用经济数据,对实际GDP增长进行的动态估算。GDPNow模型不进行任何主观调整——其估算完全基于模型的数学计算结果。”

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