Asia-Pacific Sovereigns Show Resilience Amid Tariff Risks, Domestic Spending Weakness, Fitch Says

MT Newswires Live
Mar 06

Asia-Pacific sovereigns will show strength despite tariff and policy uncertainties as well as domestic spending constraints, Fitch Ratings said in a recent release.

Most sovereigns in the region should have ample buffers to shield against US tariffs and weak growth in China, Fitch said.

The rating agency also expects the sovereigns' government debt-to-GDP ratio to rise more than 2% for over a quarter, with fiscal consolidation to be modest.

US tariffs and trade policies, volatility from notable erosion in public finances, and geopolitical tensions and social unreset are key factors for sovereign resilience, Fitch said.

For the region's banks, Fitch continues to have a neutral outlook given generally supportive macroeconomic conditions, although challenges are apparent for those in Greater China and Thailand.

Commercial real estate, household retail, and SMEs comprise the most susceptible loan segments, Fitch said.

Nonbank financial institutions also show stability, although Taiwanese finance and leasing firms and Vietnamese consumer finance face weaker dynamics, the rating agency said.

General credit conditions will also be solid for the region's corporates, but weakness can be observed in Asia-Pacific technology, China real estate, China homebuilders, and China engineering and construction, according to Fitch.

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