3月9日，惠誉旗下研究机构BMI表示，我们的基本情景预测是，伊朗冲突规模将会很大，但持续时间会很短，尽管存在战争延长的明显风险。在新兴市场中，海合会（GCC）感受到的经济影响将最为明显，这反映了这场冲击对贸易、物流、旅游和投资的不利影响。
首先，巴基斯坦和印度最为脆弱，因为它们是能源进口国，对霍尔木兹海峡的风险敞口相对较高。其次，撇开实物贸易中断不谈，埃及和土耳其的风险敞口最大。这是因为它们的能源进口账单很高，对外状况脆弱，能源补贴庞大，且通胀不稳定。第三，撒哈拉以南非洲和拉丁美洲的大宗商品生产经济体面临的风险最小，包括尼日利亚、加纳和秘鲁。
美股频道更多独家策划、专家专栏，免费查阅>>
Disclaimer: Investing carries risk. This is not financial advice. The above content should not be regarded as an offer, recommendation, or solicitation on acquiring or disposing of any financial products, any associated discussions, comments, or posts by author or other users should not be considered as such either. It is solely for general information purpose only, which does not consider your own investment objectives, financial situations or needs. TTM assumes no responsibility or warranty for the accuracy and completeness of the information, investors should do their own research and may seek professional advice before investing.