大行评级丨小摩:市场过度忧虑加息对香港地产股影响,板块其他基本面依然稳固

中金财经
Mar 11

  摩根大通发表研报指,近期市场出现忧虑,通胀或地缘政治引发加息可能令香港地产板块估值下调。该行基本假设未来四季利率维持不变,而且置业人士目前仍享有轻微正利差,预期板块可承受利率不变的环境。另外,该行认为,虽然加息预期可能引发短暂获利回吐,但历史数据显示加息并不一定导致股价或楼价下跌。在过度忧虑加息之前,市场可能忽略了近期港元同业拆息(HIBOR)持续回落的趋势,这至少在短期内对借贷成本及按揭利率属正面因素。撇除利率因素,板块其他基本面依然稳固,该行维持正面看法;发展商中首选新鸿基地产信和置业,收租股中首选太古地产、香港置地恒隆地产。   

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