ChainCatcher 消息，据 QCP Capital 分析，在伊朗冲突引发的地缘政治冲击下，BTC 短暂跌破 63,000 美元后回升至 70,000 美元附近，表现出相对韧性。
期权市场波动率回落至 50 中段，风险逆转仍呈负值，下行保护需求持续存在。宏观层面，股市承压、美债收益率走高、降息预期推后，市场呈现滞胀特征。油价方面，布伦特原油短暂飙升至 120 美元后回落，IEA 拟协调释放 3-4 亿桶战略储备。BTC 当前更多表现为流动性敏感的宏观工具，而非高贝塔风险资产。市场关注今日美国 CPI 数据，或将决定降息预期能否重启。
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