Dollar General Q4 sales slightly beat estimates on higher customer traffic

Reuters
Mar 12
Dollar General Q4 sales slightly beat estimates on higher customer traffic

Overview

  • U.S. discount retailer's Q4 sales rose 5.9%, slight beat versus analyst expectations

  • Q4 diluted EPS surged 121.8% yr/yr, driven by margin expansion and lower impairment charges

  • Company expects fiscal 2026 net sales growth of 3.7%-4.2% and EPS of $7.10-$7.35

Outlook

  • Dollar General sees fiscal 2026 net sales growth of 3.7% to 4.2%

  • Company expects fiscal 2026 same-store sales growth of 2.2% to 2.7%

  • Dollar General forecasts fiscal 2026 diluted EPS of $7.10 to $7.35

Result Drivers

  • SAME-STORE SALES GROWTH - Q4 same-store sales rose 4.3%, reflecting higher customer traffic and average transaction amounts, with growth in all major categories

  • GROSS MARGIN EXPANSION - Gross profit rate increased due to lower shrink, higher inventory markups, and lower inventory damages, partially offset by increased LIFO provision

  • LOWER IMPAIRMENT CHARGES - Operating profit and SG&A ratio benefited from reduced impairment charges following last year's store portfolio optimization review

Company press release: ID:nBw6SfLJda

Key Details

Metric

Beat/Miss

Actual

Consensus Estimate

Q4 Sales

Slight Beat*

$10.91 bln

$10.82 bln (19 Analysts)

Q4 EPS

$1.93

Q4 Net Income

$426.30 mln

Q4 Like-For-Like Growth

4.30%

Q4 Operating Profit

$606.30 mln

*Applies to a deviation of less than 1%; not applicable for per-share numbers.

Analyst Coverage

  • The current average analyst rating on the shares is "buy" and the breakdown of recommendations is 13 "strong buy" or "buy", 17 "hold" and 1 "sell" or "strong sell"

  • The average consensus recommendation for the discount stores peer group is "buy"

  • Wall Street's median 12-month price target for Dollar General Corp is $145.00, about 0.1% below its March 11 closing price of $144.84

  • The stock recently traded at 20 times the next 12-month earnings vs. a P/E of 16 three months ago

For questions concerning the data in this report, contact Estimates.Support@lseg.com. For any other questions or feedback, contact reuters.support@thomsonreuters.com.

(This story was created using Reuters automation and AI based on LSEG and company data. It was checked and edited by a Reuters journalist prior to publication.)

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