比推消息，据金十报道， Rystad Energy 石油市场副总裁 Janiv Shah 表示，如果中东地区的供应中断持续四个月，布伦特原油价格可能升至每桶 135 美元。该公司预测，在持续两个月的较短危机情景下，油价将在 4 月升至每桶 110 美元以上，随后随着供应恢复正常而回落，到年底降至约 70 美元。按照这一情景，2026 年的平均油价约为每桶 87 美元。若战争持续四个月，布油价格将在 5 月飙升至约每桶 135 美元，随后随着市场供需重新趋于平衡，到年底回落至约 85 美元。Shah 表示：“当前关注点已完全转向国家能源安全，使当前油价成为对全球稳定的一个非常现实的威胁。”
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