智通财经APP获悉，中东战火持续，国际油价突破每桶100美元，巴克莱认为，若中东冲突再持续数周，布兰特原油价格可能测试每桶120美元关口；10%概率的极端情境预测显示，布油可能在本月底前触及每桶150美元。
巴克莱表示，这些数字看似过高，尤其考虑到今年初市场对油市前景普遍持悲观态度。但重申当前基本面更强劲，风险也比俄乌冲突时更大。自冲突爆发以来，滞留于中东海湾地区的油轮装载的原油量已增加约8500万桶，并强调油价上行风险依然偏向上档。目前，伊拉克和科威特的原油出口已经受阻，未来可能蔓延至阿联酋乃至沙特阿拉伯。
国际油价飙升，逼近每桶120美元。纽约原油期货今早亚洲时段高见每桶119.48美元，现时每桶报104.76美元，升13.86美元或15.25%；伦敦布兰特期油高见119.5美元，最新报109.05美元，升16.36美元或17.65%。
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