摩根士丹利策略师:对美股未来6-12个月走势仍持乐观看法

环球市场播报
Mar 09

  摩根士丹利策略师表示,近期这轮滚动式回调更接近尾声而非开端,并对未来6至12个月美国股市仍然持有建设性看法。

  以Mike Wilson为首的团队在报告中称,受益于企业盈利增速重新加快以及持续的扩大,美股前景仍看起来不错。

  不过,随着油价波动与美元走强,股市短期波动性可能仍将持续。

  得益于美国规模温和的能源盈余,美股表现优于海外市场。策略师预计,即便在原油价格下跌的乐观情景下,这一现象仍有望延续。

  他们写道:“我们的基准判断仍是,短期进一步走弱将为加仓周期性交易提供机会”。

  从仓位与估值角度看,周期板块当前没有那么过头,且基本面的利好仍在。

  在周期板块内部,他们偏好金融、工业、可选消费与小盘股。

  在防御性对冲方面,团队更青睐医疗保健以及优质股。

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责任编辑:刘明亮

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