由于油价高企引发通胀复燃的担忧，全球债券市场爆发抛售潮，年初至今的涨幅已悉数回吐。
追踪投资级政府债和企业债总回报的彭博全球综合指数在2026年的涨幅已归零。
随着周四油价回升至每桶100美元以上，抛售势头进一步加剧。截至2月27日，该指数今年曾一度上涨2.1%，这突显了地缘政治冲击扭转市场情绪的速度之快。
随着投资者对冲突扩大的风险进行定价，美债收益率本周攀升至数月高点。许多基金经理押注，通胀压力将盖过传统避险情绪对主权债券的支撑。
尽管市场普遍预计美联储下周将维持利率不变，但物价压力的持续回升可能使其在未来几个月难以找到恢复降息的理由，即便劳动力市场正在走软。
高盛经济学家Manuel Abecasis写道：“更高的通胀路径将使美联储更难在短期内开始降息。”
这位经济学家将其对美联储再次降息时间的预测从6月推迟到了9月。
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