智通财经APP获悉，创新实业(02788)涨超8%，高见32港元再创新高，3月9日入通至今累涨超三成。截至发稿，涨8.01%，报31.56港元，成交额2.18亿港元。
消息面上，2月底以来，中东地缘局势骤然升级，从霍尔木兹海峡航运受阻，到卡塔尔、巴林铝厂相继遭遇不可抗力，全球铝供应链正面临实质性威胁。中邮证券认为，当前电解铝价格仅计价Qatalum铝厂和巴林铝厂停运的短期影响，如冲突继续，天然气发电成本上移叠加原料短缺，铝价有望到3w/吨，如冲突有条件平息，铝股仍具备分红等安全边际，降息预期重启仍利好。
浙商证券指，受益于电解铝行业景气度上行带来的铝价上涨、铝土矿价格下跌带来的成本端下行以及新能源装机带来的电力成本下滑，公司利润显著增厚。同时沙特电解铝产能规划有望带动公司电解铝产量提升，2027年有望继续增产放量。此外，公司具有显著的远期成长性，行业内存在显著成长性的公司包括南山铝业/华通线缆等，存在明显的估值溢价，2026年平均PE为28X。
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