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　　3月12日，人民币兑美元中间价报6.8959，下调42点。

　　美联储3月维持利率不变的概率为99.4%

　　据CME“美联储观察”：美联储到3月降息25个基点的概率为0.6%，维持利率不变的概率为99.4%。美联储到4月累计降息25个基点的概率11.9%，维持利率不变的概率为88.1%，累计降息50个基点的概率为0.1%。到6月累计降息25个基点的概率为33.8%。

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