3月10日，穆迪分析经济学家Stefan Angrick表示，日本经济在2025年最后一个季度的表现好于初值，但前景依然艰难。不利因素不少：美国的进口关税和其他国家竞争正在挤压出口和工厂产出，而中东冲突和贸易威胁则带来更多担忧。
Angrick表示：“在日本国内，需求疲软是主要挑战，因为通胀已连续数年超过名义薪资增长。”政策制定者指望通胀放缓来提高实际收入，但疲软的工资数据和不断上涨的油价使这种情景面临风险。如果大宗商品价格持续高企，可能会再次引发通胀和日元贬值。穆迪分析预计，日本央行将在3月按兵不动，然后在夏季再加息一次。
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