3月16日,我们来解读一下半导体和存储芯片这两个板块。
先说半导体。今天半导体走出探底回升的走势,打到前期低点后出现一根金针探底,这说明下方有明显的承接盘,有资金在低位进场。毕竟科技方向是牛市的起手,科技不行,谁还能行?所以这个位置有承接是合理的。
接下来看它能否承接得住,以及承接之后怎么走。首先,大周期上,半导体已经回踩了5周均线和5月均线,这是一个非常积极的信号,说明大周期回踩到位。回踩之后,要想上涨,小周期必须走好。什么叫走好?就是K线站上均线,5日均线金叉10日均线,MACD翻红。在这个形态走出来之前,主力可能就是在玩差价,通过杀跌拿筹码。今天杀跌到前低附近,放量探底回升,就是典型的例子。
操作上,在均线金叉之前,可以按照5月线低吸、5日线高抛的思路做差价。站上5日线后,就会挑战5周线。
再看存储芯片,它是半导体的急先锋,对整个半导体板块至关重要。存储芯片的大周期也回踩了5月线,小周期上5日线还没金叉,但比半导体整体更强一些。它已经回补了前面的缺口,缺口补完后就可以关注了。半导体里面,重点还是要看存储芯片。当均线金叉、MACD翻红之后,这个方向会有一波行情。选股方面,找均线多头、MACD翻红、有主力进场的品种。
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