CryptoQuant:受以太坊“采用悖论”的影响,ETH 价格或会跌至 1500 美元

链捕手
Mar 13

ChainCatcher 消息,据 The Block报道,链上分析公司 CryptoQuant 表示,以太坊正面临“采用悖论”,即网络活动创历史新高,而 ETH 价格却大幅下跌。

CryptoQuant 研究主管表示,如果熊市持续,ETH 可能进一步跌至 1500 美元左右,这一水平可能在今年第三季度末或第四季度初出现。数据显示,以太坊日活跃地址上月创历史新高,超过 2021 年牛市水平,而 ETH 自本轮周期高点已下跌超 50%。智能合约和自动化协议产生的活动也激增,内部合约调用上月达历史新高,但历史关系已恶化,ETH 价格与合约驱动活动之间的正相关关系减弱。

CryptoQuant 指出,交易所流入比网络活动指标更能解释 ETH 价格动态,ETH 相对于比特币的较高交易所流入比率表明其面临更强的相对抛压。以太坊的实现市值一年变化近期转为负值,表明资本正在流出,即使链上活动持续增长。研究主管表示,ETH 需要看到正向资本流入和较低的交易所流入才能走出熊市。

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