霍尔木兹海峡持续关闭,但油价仍远低于历史高点、美股也尚未恐慌,市场为何稳得住?

华尔街见闻
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尽管霍尔木兹海峡的关闭和中东局势恶化引发了全球关注,油价和美股市场表现却未如预期般剧烈波动。目前,原油价格仅在每桶100美元左右波动。对比历史,剔除通胀因素后,1979年伊朗伊斯兰革命后布伦特原油曾触及179美元,1980年两伊战争时达到155美元,2011年阿拉伯之春高达180美元,甚至2022年俄乌冲突时也飙升至130美元。美股似乎同样波澜不惊,即使经历了本周四的下跌,标普500指数较中东冲突...

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