伊朗战争后黄金为何下跌?摩根大通:市场动荡初期,黄金往往首先被抛售,此后或迅速转涨

华尔街见闻
1 hour ago

伊朗冲突后金价累计下跌6%,引发对其避险属性的质疑。摩根大通认为,这并非功能失效,而是市场压力初期因保证金追缴及美元走强导致的“流动性挤兑”规律。历史数据显示,此类回调通常在4个交易日内收复失地。随着霍尔木兹海峡封锁延长,能源通胀与美联储潜在的政策转向将重塑看涨逻辑,该行维持强力多头判断,预估金价年底有望挑战6300美元/盎司。伊朗冲突爆发两周以来,黄金价格不涨反跌,较开战前累计下跌约6%,令市场...

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